What It Does
MOTIONLOCK evaluates player props and produces a confidence score between 0 and 100. That number tells you how strong the signal is. Picks that don't clear the confidence threshold don't make the daily slip.
What It Looks At
Every prop gets scored across five categories.
Recent Performance
How the player has performed over the last 3, 5, and 10 games. Recent games carry more weight than the full season.
Season Averages
Where the player sits relative to their line across the full season. A player averaging 22 points on a 24.5 line is in a different position than one averaging 27.
Opponent Context
How the opposing team defends the relevant stat. Pace, defensive rating, and position-specific tendencies all factor in.
Line Movement
How the prop line has moved from open to close, and whether that movement supports or works against the pick direction.
Game Situation
Rest days, injury reports, game spread, and scheduled minutes all affect how a player performs on a given night.
How Picks Get Selected
Every prop runs through MOTIONLOCK in both directions. The engine scores the over and the under separately and takes the stronger side. Picks below 60% confidence are discarded. The daily slips are built from what's left.
The Track Record
Every pick is graded nightly against official box scores. The full results are public, broken down by sport, pick tier, and date. No picks are excluded after the fact.
One More Thing
MOTIONLOCK scores both overs and unders. The site is called Take the Under, but the engine has no directional bias. It takes whatever side the data supports.